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Will the U.S. Congress pass a bill that establishes new federal AI regulation by 2026-09-30?

This market asks whether the U.S. Congress passes a bill creating new federal AI regulation by the end of September 2026. It is resolvable using official legislative records and major news coverage of bill passage.

Prediction market technology active
An aging Congress attempts to regulate AI without using it
Percent Candles

Outcomes

0% yes 0 Aura no 0 Aura 0%

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Public evidence and related article signals for this market.

Look for a bill that clearly establishes new federal AI regulation (for example, creating AI-related safety/testing obligations, licensing/authorization requirements, or regulator authority specifically tied to AI). The outcome is determined by whether the U.S. House and U.S. Senate have both passed the same bill text by 2026-09-30, using Congress roll-call and bill status records as reflected in public sources. Outcome is YES if there exists at least one U.S. federal bill that establishes new federal AI regulation and has both House and Senate passage recorded for the same bill text no later than 2026-09-30. Otherwise the outcome is NO.

Legacy story graph fallback Related articles

This market view is a legacy grouping of related sources. It does not state causal links or determine resolution.

  1. Related source group Axios RSS

    1 article counted as 1 authority contribution.

    1 articles · 1 trusted signals
  2. Related source group www.congress.gov

    1 article counted as 1 authority contribution.

    1 articles · 1 trusted signals
  3. Related source group www.govtrack.us

    1 article counted as 1 authority contribution.

    1 articles · 1 trusted signals

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