Will Iran announce a missile/drone strike-related response against the US or Saudi Arabia by Aug 10, 2026?
This market asks whether Iran issues an official public announcement (e.g., via state media, official statements, or government spokespeople) announcing a response involving missiles or drones against the US or Saudi Arabia following the US and Saudi strikes on Tehran-backed militias in Iraq.
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Count as a qualifying event only if there is a publicly accessible official announcement from Iranian authorities (for example: Iran’s state media quoting an official, a government spokesperson statement, or an official ministry statement) that explicitly describes a planned or stated response using missile and/or drone capabilities against the US or Saudi Arabia, and it is published on or before 2026-08-10T00:08:00Z. Generic warnings without a missile/drone response element or without targeting the US or Saudi Arabia do not qualify. Outcome is YES if an Iranian official public announcement explicitly describing a missile/drone-related response against the US or Saudi Arabia is published on or before 2026-08-10T00:08:00Z. Otherwise the outcome is NO.
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