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Is the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026 lower than August 2026?

This market predicts whether U.S. consumer sentiment as measured by the University of Michigan Index declines from August to September 2026, aligning with a narrative of Republicans becoming more pessimistic about the economy.

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Republicans sour on the economy
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Use the University of Michigan’s Index of Consumer Sentiment final or published values for August 2026 and September 2026. If the September 2026 index level is strictly less than the August 2026 index level, the decline condition is met. YES if the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026 is strictly lower than the index value for August 2026 as published by the University of Michigan and/or replicated on FRED; NO otherwise.

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  1. Related source group Axios RSS

    1 article counted as 1 authority contribution.

    1 articles · 1 trusted signals