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Will Republicans hold at least 225 House seats at the end of the 2026 general election?

The market asks whether the Republican Party finishes the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections with at least 225 seats—matching Steve Scalise’s stated high-water mark.

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Exclusive: Scalise puts GOP high-water mark at 225 House seats
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Use the final official/certified party seat counts after the 2026 general election (including any post-election changes due to certification, recounts, or vacancies only if they are reflected in the final official totals). The outcome is determined by whether the final Republican seat count is at least 225. YES if the final Republican seat total in the U.S. House of Representatives after the 2026 general election is 225 or higher; otherwise NO.

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  1. Related source group Axios RSS

    1 article counted as 1 authority contribution.

    1 articles · 1 trusted signals