Has the US Federal Reserve raised the federal funds target range by at least 25 basis points under Chair Kevin Warsh by Oct 1, 2026?
The market asks whether the US Federal Reserve has increased the federal funds target range by at least 25 basis points during Kevin Warsh’s tenure as Fed chair, which would support the claim that Warsh led the first rate rise quickly. Resolution uses the Fed’s official rate-range announcements and meeting outcomes.
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Public evidence and related article signals for this market.
Use the Federal Reserve’s publicly posted statements/press releases for each FOMC decision between the start of Kevin Warsh’s chair term and the FOMC decision on or before Oct 1, 2026. Compute the cumulative change in the midpoint (or equivalent implied level) of the federal funds target range from the initial target range set at the start of Warsh’s chair term. If cumulative increases reach or exceed +25 basis points (0.25 percentage points), the outcome is YES; otherwise NO. Outcome YES if, by the latest Fed FOMC decision posted by 2026-10-01T06:00:46Z and using official target-range levels and cumulative changes from the initial target range at the start of Warsh’s tenure, the total increase is at least 25 basis points. Otherwise outcome NO.
This market view is a legacy grouping of related sources. It does not state causal links or determine resolution.
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1 article counted as 1 authority contribution.
1 articles · 1 trusted signals